Click on the linear graph feature located on the right-hand side to view stats over a 24-hr period. The information is intended to give bettors a deeper understanding of the sports marketplace. Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network. Tough for casual observers to understand, but sharps can like both sides in the same game depending on the line. It’s very clear from the money that wiseguy action comes in on Atlanta -3 and Philadelphia + 4. Another example of sharps betting an Over before the public acts.
If hop over to this site you’re looking for a fun and easy exercise, grab a piece of paper and a pen. Write down all of the Week 1 lines as they stand today and then see how they progress over the next few months. This will provide context around where the respected money is going and also allow you to identify inflated line opportunities. For example, the Bucs are currently -6.5 against the Cowboys on opening night.
This is actually higher than the expected payout of a parlay not correlated to each other at those prices, which works out to +192.5. Tennessee is -3 (+100) with an alternate line offered at -2.5 (-125) — an implied 5.6% breakeven change on the half-point difference. The first-half line is -2.5 (-110), and the alternate first-half line is the exact same as the current full game spread.
I have enough confidence in Russell Wilson to win on the road with what is likely a better team overall, but I can’t say I’d be shocked if Minnesota found a way to avoid dropping to 0-3. Russell Wilson, also known as Mr. September, is playing great ball so far this season with a 74.1% completion rate and six touchdowns to no interceptions. Minnesota’s defense did pick off Kyler Murray twice last week, but they also allowed some huge plays on busted coverage that Wilson will surely take advantage of. Bashaud Breeland has been terrible in coverage for the Vikings and has already allowed three touchdowns. Patrick Peterson has been solid, but Mackensie Alexander has also allowed some huge plays.
Watt and Zaven Collins to the fold, so they could win this one outright. Jimmy Garoppolo, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk and Raheem Mostert are all healthy, so they should key a solid offensive performance. As of this writing, the 49ers are tied for the biggest Week 1 favorite with the Buccaneers. That said, San Francisco is the more appealing of the two and may be the most appealing team to take in Week 1. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span.
This game will not be played in New Orleans as the city recovers from the damage left behind by Hurricane Ida. The contest is set to take place at the neutral site of TIAA Bank Field, the home of the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Packers were already favored by 3 points over New Orleans at most books, but this spread has been increasing in favor of Green Bay given that the Saints no longer have home field advantage.
I’ll take the three points with the home team against a mediocre Broncos squad that is 50-1 to win the Super Bowl. Since the game is going to be played on a neutral field, I have to give Green Bay the nod. Rodgers is Rodgers, and he has superior weapons at his disposal.
This way, you don’t have to wait a few days for the results and find out if you’ve won your bets. I am also watching Cincinnati +3.5 at home against Minnesota and Arizona +3 as a road dog against Tennessee. Remember to watch for late line movement before games start for last-minute value or “tells” into which way the sharp money is going. Books lift the betting limits late and that is often when you can see what side the house has liability on.
However, if you are going to go with the square play and lay the 3 on the road, Week 1 is the time to do it. With the core pieces of these two teams still in place, it’s hard not to look at last season’s Week 14 matchup and not expect the same thing (Bills won 26-15). I actually expect the Bills to lay it on even thicker this time. I don’t like backing Tampa typically but I’ve been pretty bullish betting against the Saints this season. It’s been an interesting process, but I just think the Bucs are the better team here.